President Donald Trump’s first year is nearly in the history books. It is unclear whether he will complete his four-year term due to the Russia probe, which might lead to his impeachment. While there is a lot of circumstantial evidence, there is as yet no smoking gun on the President’s involvement in his campaign’s apparent relationship with the Russian efforts to sway the American electorate against Hillary Clinton. Let’s keep our eye on the ball, which are the 2018 mid term elections in the House and the Senate.

The House and Senate Conferees have completed their horse trading and agreed on a final package. The Tax Policy Center and the Joint Committee on Taxation completed their analyses Monday, December 18. The House and Senate are voting today and Wednesday. With this info, you can explain what they did to your holiday guests should you wish to provoke an argument and spoil an otherwise lovely family dinner.

The House and the Senate have passed tax packages with the same basic framework, but some key differences. They will now meet in a Conference Committee to reconcile their differences. There are multiplying dangers for health care for every American in the GOP Tax Reform Package that can be mitigated or worsened in the Conference Committee.

Today’s analysis from the Joint Committee on Taxation (JCT) says that the proposed tax cut does not stimulate the economy enough to offset the tax cut. It will grow the economy by 0.8% and this will add $400 billion in revenues over the next decade. The other $1 trillion will be added to the national debt. In other words, they are saying the exact same thing as almost every economist “the GOP tax reform” will not pay for itself.

The CBO estimate is dated November 26, 2017. It finds that the proposal would increase the federal deficit by $1,441 billion over the next ten years. Revenues would be reduced by $1,663 billion and spending by $219 billion. Of the total, $1.1 trillion would be individual tax relief. Those changes are about $140 to $150 billion annually between 2019 and 2025, then many of them would be sunset so that the corporate tax changes can be made permanent.

Three giveaways stand out: the alternative minimum tax repeal, the estate tax repeal and the reduced rates for pass through incomes. Repealing the alternative minimum tax costs $440 billion over the next decade. Repeal of the estate and gifts tax adds an additional $239 billion to the deficit over the first ten years and $443 billion over the next decade. The pass through tax rate of 25% costs $770 billion. All are designed to help President Trump, his donors and friends and his family members. Let’s discuss them in reverse order.

The GOP Senate tax proposal is Robin Hood in Reverse. It steals from the poor to give to the very rich. At a time when three people own half our nation’s wealth, the depth of the theft envisaged in this proposal is simply inexcusable. This analysis does not include the GOP budget proposal’s efforts to cut a trillion from Medicaid and $500 billion from Medicare to balance these tax cuts.

We grew up next to a local school and spent the better parts of nearly every summer playing baseball with all the neighborhood kids and friends on the school’s ball fields. Our neighborhood was filled with large catholic families and so with the neighborhood and friends we had enough for nearly two full teams.